Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
http://doi.org/10.25358/openscience-8123
Authors: | Martinez del Castillo, Edurne Zang, Christian S. Burras, Allan Hacket-Pain, Andrew Esper, Jan Serrano-Notivoli, Roberto Hartl, Claudia Weigel, Robert Klesse, Stefan Resco de Dios, Victor Scharnweber, Tobias Dorado-Liñán, Isabel van der Maaten-Theunissen, Marieke van der Maaten, Ernst Jump, Alistair Mikac, Sjepan Banzragch, Bat-Enerel Beck, Wolfgang Cavin, Liam Claessens, Hugues Čada, Vojtěch Čufar, Katarina Dulamsuren, Choimaa Gričar, Jozica Gil-Pelegrín, Eustaquio Janda, Pavel Kazimirovic, Marko Kreyling, Juergen Latte, Nicolas Leuschner, Christoph Longares, Luis Alberto Menzel, Annette Merela, Maks Motta, Renzo Muffler, Lena Nola, Paola Petritan, Any Mary Petritan, Ion Catalin Prislan, Peter Rubio-Cuadrado, Álvaro Rydval, Miloš Stajić, Branko Svoboda, Miroslav Toromani, Elvin Trotsiuk, Volodymyr Wilmking, Martin Zlatanov, Tzvetan Luis, Martin de |
Title: | Climate-change-driven growth decline of European beech forests |
Online publication date: | 31-Oct-2022 |
Year of first publication: | 2022 |
Language: | english |
Abstract: | The growth of past, present, and future forests was, is and will be affected by climate variability. This multifaceted relationship has been assessed in several regional studies, but spatially resolved, large-scale analyses are largely missing so far. Here we estimate recent changes in growth of 5800 beech trees (Fagus sylvatica L.) from 324 sites, representing the full geographic and climatic range of species. Future growth trends were predicted considering state-of-the-art climate scenarios. The validated models indicate growth declines across large region of the distribution in recent decades, and project severe future growth declines ranging from −20% to more than −50% by 2090, depending on the region and climate change scenario (i.e. CMIP6 SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5). Forecasted forest productivity losses are most striking towards the southern distribution limit of Fagus sylvatica, in regions where persisting atmospheric high-pressure systems are expected to increase drought severity. The projected 21st century growth changes across Europe indicate serious ecological and economic consequences that require immediate forest adaptation. |
DDC: | 570 Biowissenschaften 570 Life sciences |
Institution: | Johannes Gutenberg-Universität Mainz |
Department: | FB 10 Biologie |
Place: | Mainz |
ROR: | https://ror.org/023b0x485 |
DOI: | http://doi.org/10.25358/openscience-8123 |
Version: | Published version |
Publication type: | Zeitschriftenaufsatz |
Document type specification: | Scientific article |
License: | CC BY |
Information on rights of use: | https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
Journal: | Communications biology 5 |
Pages or article number: | 163 |
Publisher: | Springer Nature |
Publisher place: | London |
Issue date: | 2022 |
ISSN: | 2399-3642 |
Publisher DOI: | 10.1038/s42003-022-03107-3 |
Appears in collections: | DFG-491381577-G |
Files in This Item:
File | Description | Size | Format | ||
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climatechangedriven_growth_de-20221020151904071.pdf | 5.94 MB | Adobe PDF | View/Open |